Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
395.23 – 185.19
93%7%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
371 – 253
Prediction correct · off by 46 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 629.7 ±9.5
Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 197.95Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 47.9Event APEX 4Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 307.9Event APEX 193.28Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 397.3 ±9.5
Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 17.13Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 151.3Event APEX 72.67Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 204.6Event APEX 95.39Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9023, 4060, 5468
85
/ 100 compatProjected
395.2 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 9023, 4060, 5468
Auto
69.3 18%
Teleop
219.3 56%
Endgame
100.9 26%
Strengths
- · 9023 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3712, 2811, 9450
62
/ 100 compatProjected
185.2 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 3712, 2811, 9450
Auto
19.5 11%
Teleop
110.1 61%
Endgame
50.8 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.58 · Blue 0.68
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score395.2pts
Blue projected score185.2pts
Red win probability93%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 64%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 210
- Score range
- 153–427
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
629.7Season APEX397.3
69.3Auto19.5
219.3Teleop110.1
100.9Endgame50.8
66Consistency69
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 71 | 41 |
| teleop | 217 | 141 |
| endgame | 73 | 71 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 371 | 253 |
Result
Final score
371 – 253
Prediction correct · off by 46 pts
Match videos
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