Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
250.88 – 216.19
61%39%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
218 – 242
Prediction missed · off by 29.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 302.8 ±11
Season APEX 133.3Event APEX 109.94Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 115.18Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 23.2Event APEX 25.76Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 397.3 ±9.5
Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 27.29Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 151.3Event APEX 83.65Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 204.6Event APEX 105.25Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3218, 753, 9613
74
/ 100 compatProjected
250.9 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 3218, 753, 9613
Auto
36.1 15%
Teleop
141.8 57%
Endgame
69.7 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3712, 2811, 9450
69
/ 100 compatProjected
216.2 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3712, 2811, 9450
Auto
31.3 15%
Teleop
124.2 59%
Endgame
55.6 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.9 · Blue 1.33
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score250.9pts
Blue projected score216.2pts
Red win probability61%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 62%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 34.7
- Score range
- 182–285
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
302.8Season APEX397.3
36.1Auto31.3
141.8Teleop124.2
69.7Endgame55.6
0Consistency63
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 49 |
| teleop | 96 | 123 |
| endgame | 74 | 60 |
| foul | 15 | 10 |
| total | 218 | 242 |
Result
Final score
218 – 242
Prediction missed · off by 29.3 pts
Match videos
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