Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
63.98 – 189.94
17%83%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
83 – 132
Prediction correct · off by 38.5 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 192.6 ±12.7
Season APEX 37.8Event APEX 42.81Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 95.5Event APEX 3.58Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 17.59Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 305.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 75.14Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 96.39Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 18.41Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6845, 2147, 3876
38
/ 100 compatProjected
64 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 6845, 2147, 3876
Auto
3.3 5%
Teleop
42.0 67%
Endgame
17.7 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5295, 753, 1595
69
/ 100 compatProjected
189.9 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 5295, 753, 1595
Auto
33.3 18%
Teleop
120.4 67%
Endgame
26.4 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.35
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score64pts
Blue projected score189.9pts
Red win probability17%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -126
- Score range
- 34–220
- Upset likelihood
- 17%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
192.6Season APEX305.6
3.3Auto33.3
42Teleop120.4
17.7Endgame26.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 0 | 19 |
| teleop | 62 | 62 |
| endgame | 21 | 51 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 83 | 132 |
Result
Final score
83 – 132
Prediction correct · off by 38.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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