Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
108.32 – 158.19
35%65%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
112 – 94
Prediction missed · off by 33.9 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 212.9 ±11.6
Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 29.71Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 29.71Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 95.7Event APEX 48.9Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 327.6 ±10.5
Season APEX 23.2Event APEX 59.52Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 99.8Event APEX 9.53Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 204.6Event APEX 89.14Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4980, 5920, 4131
51
/ 100 compatProjected
108.3 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4980, 5920, 4131
Auto
15.3 14%
Teleop
56.2 53%
Endgame
35.1 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9613, 4061, 9450
57
/ 100 compatProjected
158.2 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9613, 4061, 9450
Auto
18.9 12%
Teleop
110.7 72%
Endgame
23.6 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.88
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score108.3pts
Blue projected score158.2pts
Red win probability35%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 71%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -49.9
- Score range
- 76–190
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
212.9Season APEX327.6
15.3Auto18.9
56.2Teleop110.7
35.1Endgame23.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 23 |
| teleop | 63 | 47 |
| endgame | 29 | 24 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 112 | 94 |
Result
Final score
112 – 94
Prediction missed · off by 33.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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