Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

328.47 – 108.01

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

338 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 25.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 466.8 ±10

8532Classified

Season APEX 72.9Event APEX 62.63Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2926Robo Sparks

Season APEX 120Event APEX 73.66Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9023Future Martians

Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 192.18Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198.4 ±13.3

11347Bronco Brigade

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 15.96Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3712RoboCats

Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 27.85Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10423CB Tech

Season APEX 76.8Event APEX 64.2Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8532, 2926, 9023

/ 100 compat

Projected

328.5 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8532, 2926, 9023

Auto

53.0 16%

Teleop

177.1 54%

Endgame

95.7 29%

Strengths

· 9023 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11347, 3712, 10423

/ 100 compat

Projected

108 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11347, 3712, 10423

Auto

13.5 13%

Teleop

48.5 46%

Endgame

43.3 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.59 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score328.5pts

Blue projected score108pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 220.5
Score range: 74–362
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 404 vs event baseline 189.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

466.8Season APEX198.4

53Auto13.5

177.1Teleop48.5

95.7Endgame43.3

59Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	10
teleop	201	30
endgame	84	21
foul	0	5
total	338	66

Result

Final score

338 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 25.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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