Qualification · Qualification 52
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
126.89 – 157.61
41%59%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
71 – 165
Prediction correct · off by 31.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 313.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 204.6Event APEX 97.1Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 18.7Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 11.09Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 284.6 ±10.7
Season APEX 151.3Event APEX 66.13Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 37.8Event APEX 29.71Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 95.5Event APEX 61.77Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9450, 3712, 5295
49
/ 100 compatProjected
126.9 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 9450, 3712, 5295
Auto
14.5 12%
Teleop
76.7 61%
Endgame
34.2 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2811, 6845, 2147
55
/ 100 compatProjected
157.6 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2811, 6845, 2147
Auto
13.8 9%
Teleop
83.8 55%
Endgame
53.5 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.84
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score126.9pts
Blue projected score157.6pts
Red win probability41%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -30.7
- Score range
- 95–190
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
313.6Season APEX284.6
14.5Auto13.8
76.7Teleop83.8
34.2Endgame53.5
50Consistency81
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 15 |
| teleop | 35 | 103 |
| endgame | 14 | 47 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 71 | 165 |
Result
Final score
71 – 165
Prediction correct · off by 31.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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