Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

96.68 – 171.44

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

93 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 8.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 160.1 ±12.1

3712RoboCats

Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 22.25Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9613Lion's Byte

Season APEX 23.2Event APEX 10.24Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2147CHUCK

Season APEX 95.5Event APEX 64.19Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.8 ±12.7

5920VIKotics

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 47.16Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4513Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 75.9Event APEX 63.75Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10423CB Tech

Season APEX 76.8Event APEX 60.53Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3712, 9613, 2147

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3712, 9613, 2147

Auto

5.2 6%

Teleop

40.7 44%

Endgame

46.8 50%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5920, 4513, 10423

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5920, 4513, 10423

Auto

31.7 19%

Teleop

103.2 62%

Endgame

30.6 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score96.7pts

Blue projected score171.4pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74.8
Score range: 64–204
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 252 vs event baseline 184.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

160.1Season APEX217.8

5.2Auto31.7

40.7Teleop103.2

46.8Endgame30.6

94Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	16
teleop	43	94
endgame	27	49
foul	10	0
total	93	159

Result

Final score

93 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 8.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.