Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

216.59 – 105.58

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

271 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 36.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 442.6 ±9.8

753High Desert Droids

Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 86.44Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9450Velocity Raptors

Season APEX 204.6Event APEX 103.37Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1595The Dragons

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 26.78Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 186.2 ±12.7

4692Metal Mallards

Season APEX 45.7Event APEX 29.43Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8532Classified

Season APEX 72.9Event APEX 60.67Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5295Aldernating Current

Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 15.48Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 753, 9450, 1595

/ 100 compat

Projected

216.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 753, 9450, 1595

Auto

23.6 11%

Teleop

145.3 67%

Endgame

47.5 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4692, 8532, 5295

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4692, 8532, 5295

Auto

25.1 25%

Teleop

34.8 35%

Endgame

39.0 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.28 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score216.6pts

Blue projected score105.6pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 111
Score range: 73–250
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 358 vs event baseline 184.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

442.6Season APEX186.2

23.6Auto25.1

145.3Teleop34.8

47.5Endgame39

16Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	13
teleop	196	36
endgame	43	33
foul	0	5
total	271	87

Result

Final score

271 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 36.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.