Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

140.77 – 74.44

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

259 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 60.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 360.7 ±11.7

9450Velocity Raptors

Season APEX 204.6Event APEX 85.76Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11347Bronco Brigade

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 3.27Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4513Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 75.9Event APEX 51.74Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227.9 ±12.2

8532Classified

Season APEX 72.9Event APEX 58.56Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4131Iron Patriots

Season APEX 95.7Event APEX 29.02Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3876Mabton LugNutz

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX -13.14Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9450, 11347, 4513

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9450, 11347, 4513

Auto

25.4 19%

Teleop

95.0 70%

Endgame

16.0 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8532, 4131, 3876

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8532, 4131, 3876

Auto

18.8 24%

Teleop

40.4 51%

Endgame

19.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score140.8pts

Blue projected score74.4pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.3
Score range: 42–173
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 337 vs event baseline 179.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

360.7Season APEX227.9

25.4Auto18.8

95Teleop40.4

16Endgame19.6

37Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	18
teleop	167	32
endgame	52	18
foul	0	10
total	259	78

Result

Final score

259 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 60.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.