Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
169.76 – 154.94
55%45%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
173 – 191
Prediction missed · off by 19.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 249.1 ±10.7
Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 80.07Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 45.7Event APEX 26.87Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 151.3Event APEX 62.82Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 356.9 ±11.6
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 33.75Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 95.5Event APEX 63.65Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 196.3Event APEX 57.54Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4980, 4692, 2811
62
/ 100 compatProjected
169.8 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 4980, 4692, 2811
Auto
18.6 12%
Teleop
84.9 53%
Endgame
58.0 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5920, 2147, 4125
54
/ 100 compatProjected
154.9 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5920, 2147, 4125
Auto
9.3 6%
Teleop
87.3 59%
Endgame
50.3 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 1.65
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score169.8pts
Blue projected score154.9pts
Red win probability55%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 71%, blue 70%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 14.8
- Score range
- 122–203
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
249.1Season APEX356.9
18.6Auto9.3
84.9Teleop87.3
58Endgame50.3
133Consistency99
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 34 |
| teleop | 85 | 105 |
| endgame | 56 | 47 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 173 | 191 |
Result
Final score
173 – 191
Prediction missed · off by 19.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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