Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

88.5 – 157.06

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

88 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 11.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 190.9 ±12.7

11347Bronco Brigade

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 3.13Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8532Classified

Season APEX 72.9Event APEX 59.53Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6845River Bots

Season APEX 37.8Event APEX 25.84Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 310.2 ±11

4060Bearcat Robotics

Season APEX 47.9Event APEX -5.79Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10416Radical Raccoons

Season APEX 142.3Event APEX 81.39Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2926Robo Sparks

Season APEX 120Event APEX 81.46Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11347, 8532, 6845

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11347, 8532, 6845

Auto

24.1 28%

Teleop

37.8 44%

Endgame

23.7 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4060, 10416, 2926

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4060, 10416, 2926

Auto

18.9 12%

Teleop

81.8 51%

Endgame

60.3 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score88.5pts

Blue projected score157.1pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -68.6
Score range: 56–190
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 267 vs event baseline 183.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

190.9Season APEX310.2

24.1Auto18.9

37.8Teleop81.8

23.7Endgame60.3

18Consistency108

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	37
teleop	19	100
endgame	49	37
foul	0	5
total	88	179

Result

Final score

88 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 11.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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