Qualification · Qualification 16
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
88.35 – 162.66
28%72%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
47 – 351
Prediction correct · off by 114.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 272.8 ±12.8
Season APEX 133.3Event APEX 85.55Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.3Event APEX -13.76Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 16.56Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 430.7 ±10
Season APEX 91.7Event APEX -15.29Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 175.77Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 2.18Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3218, 3876, 11347
31
/ 100 compatProjected
88.4 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 3218, 3876, 11347
Auto
14.4 17%
Teleop
72.4 87%
Endgame
-3.7 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1595, 9023, 5920
61
/ 100 compatProjected
162.7 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 1595, 9023, 5920
Auto
21.7 13%
Teleop
102.5 62%
Endgame
40.9 25%
Strengths
- · 9023 anchors offense
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 2.17
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score88.4pts
Blue projected score162.7pts
Red win probability28%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 62%, blue 68%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -74.3
- Score range
- 55–196
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
272.8Season APEX430.7
14.4Auto21.7
72.4Teleop102.5
-3.7Endgame40.9
113Consistency146
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 39 |
| teleop | 22 | 235 |
| endgame | 5 | 77 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 47 | 351 |
Result
Final score
47 – 351
Prediction correct · off by 114.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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