Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

164.15 – 103.95

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

297 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 120 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 401.4 ±11.2

10423CB Tech

Season APEX 76.8Event APEX 32.97Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9450Velocity Raptors

Season APEX 204.6Event APEX 67.26Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2926Robo Sparks

Season APEX 120Event APEX 63.92Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227.8 ±11.6

4513Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 75.9Event APEX 57.9Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4980Canine Crusaders

Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 44.99Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4061SciBorgs

Season APEX 99.8Event APEX 1.06Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10423, 9450, 2926

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10423, 9450, 2926

Auto

32.4 20%

Teleop

91.9 58%

Endgame

34.7 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4513, 4980, 4061

/ 100 compat

Projected

104 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4513, 4980, 4061

Auto

22.1 21%

Teleop

70.7 66%

Endgame

13.7 13%

Strengths

· Low variance, consistent output

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score164.2pts

Blue projected score104pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 60.2
Score range: 73–195
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 508 vs event baseline 170.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

401.4Season APEX227.8

32.4Auto22.1

91.9Teleop70.7

34.7Endgame13.7

0Consistency175

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	37
teleop	150	123
endgame	128	46
foul	0	5
total	297	211

Result

Final score

297 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 120 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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