Qualification · Qualification 12
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
97.03 – 396.2
2%98%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
80 – 530
Prediction correct · off by 75.4 points
Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 212.5 ±11.6
Season APEX 47.9Event APEX 34.56Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 91.7Event APEX -7.85Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 72.9Event APEX 70.32Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 728.1 ±8.8
Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 163.02Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 307.9Event APEX 137.49Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 95.69Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4060, 1595, 8532
50
/ 100 compatProjected
97 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 4060, 1595, 8532
Auto
10.9 10%
Teleop
51.4 49%
Endgame
42.4 40%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9023, 5468, 753
87
/ 100 compatProjected
396.2 pts
~2.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9023, 5468, 753
Auto
57.9 15%
Teleop
234.3 62%
Endgame
87.6 23%
Strengths
- · 9023 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score97pts
Blue projected score396.2pts
Red win probability2%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 70%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -299.2
- Score range
- 69–424
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
212.5Season APEX728.1
10.9Auto57.9
51.4Teleop234.3
42.4Endgame87.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 78 |
| teleop | 7 | 349 |
| endgame | 43 | 103 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 80 | 530 |
Result
Final score
80 – 530
Prediction correct · off by 75.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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