Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
118.17 – 76.74
63%37%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
50 – 134
Prediction missed · off by 62.7 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 168.5 ±12.7
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 30.01Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 23.2Event APEX 39.41Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 48.75Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 249 ±10.7
Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 41.14Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41.4Event APEX -15.71Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 151.3Event APEX 51.31Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5920, 9613, 11347
56
/ 100 compatProjected
118.2 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 5920, 9613, 11347
Auto
19.0 17%
Teleop
60.6 54%
Endgame
32.8 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6443, 3712, 2811
45
/ 100 compatProjected
76.7 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 6443, 3712, 2811
Auto
9.8 14%
Teleop
41.4 57%
Endgame
20.8 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.31
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score118.2pts
Blue projected score76.7pts
Red win probability63%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 41.4
- Score range
- 46–149
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
168.5Season APEX249
19Auto9.8
60.6Teleop41.4
32.8Endgame20.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 5 | 14 |
| teleop | 24 | 69 |
| endgame | 21 | 46 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 50 | 134 |
Result
Final score
50 – 134
Prediction missed · off by 62.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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