Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

368.22 – 222.08

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

452 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 59.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 629.7 ±9.5

5468Chaos Theory

A+

Season APEX 307.9Event APEX 184.2Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4060Bearcat Robotics

Season APEX 47.9Event APEX -5.31Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9023Future Martians

Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 189.33Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 397.3 ±9.5

3712RoboCats

Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 28.74Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2811StormBots

Season APEX 151.3Event APEX 85.97Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9450Velocity Raptors

Season APEX 204.6Event APEX 107.37Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5468, 4060, 9023

/ 100 compat

Projected

368.2 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5468, 4060, 9023

Auto

67.0 19%

Teleop

201.7 56%

Endgame

92.4 26%

Strengths

· 9023 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3712, 2811, 9450

/ 100 compat

Projected

222.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3712, 2811, 9450

Auto

35.1 16%

Teleop

125.3 58%

Endgame

55.7 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score368.2pts

Blue projected score222.1pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 146.1
Score range: 188–402
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 639 vs event baseline 188.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

629.7Season APEX397.3

67Auto35.1

201.7Teleop125.3

92.4Endgame55.7

54Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	17
teleop	283	103
endgame	105	62
foul	0	5
total	452	187

Result

Final score

452 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 59.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.