Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
384.39 – 219.23
89%11%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
257 – 241
Prediction correct · off by 74.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 629.7 ±9.5
Season APEX 307.9Event APEX 189.85Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 47.9Event APEX 0.32Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 194.22Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 397.3 ±9.5
Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 28.26Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 151.3Event APEX 84.6Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 204.6Event APEX 106.37Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5468, 4060, 9023
84
/ 100 compatProjected
384.4 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 5468, 4060, 9023
Auto
66.8 18%
Teleop
214.6 57%
Endgame
95.6 25%
Strengths
- · 9023 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3712, 2811, 9450
71
/ 100 compatProjected
219.2 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 3712, 2811, 9450
Auto
33.2 16%
Teleop
124.4 58%
Endgame
56.0 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.77
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score384.4pts
Blue projected score219.2pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 64%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 165.2
- Score range
- 185–418
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
629.7Season APEX397.3
66.8Auto33.2
214.6Teleop124.4
95.6Endgame56
54Consistency68
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 69 | 52 |
| teleop | 113 | 128 |
| endgame | 70 | 51 |
| foul | 5 | 10 |
| total | 257 | 241 |
Result
Final score
257 – 241
Prediction correct · off by 74.6 pts
Match videos
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