Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
129.17 – 103.08
58%42%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
139 – 150
Prediction missed · off by 28.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 335.2 ±11.6
Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 78.9Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 94.5Event APEX 14.84Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 148.3Event APEX 35.43Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 234.7 ±12.1
Season APEX 86.2Event APEX 33.58Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 47.81Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 21.69Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9036, 9317, 8051
69
/ 100 compatProjected
129.2 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 9036, 9317, 8051
Auto
29.0 25%
Teleop
59.7 52%
Endgame
27.2 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3786, 7627, 3681
55
/ 100 compatProjected
103.1 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3786, 7627, 3681
Auto
22.4 24%
Teleop
41.8 44%
Endgame
30.7 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.6 · Blue 1.26
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score129.2pts
Blue projected score103.1pts
Red win probability58%
Event bonus sample152alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 26.1
- Score range
- 80–152
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
335.2Season APEX234.7
29Auto22.4
59.7Teleop41.8
27.2Endgame30.7
65Consistency15
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 37 | 19 |
| teleop | 69 | 61 |
| endgame | 33 | 35 |
| foul | 0 | 35 |
| total | 139 | 150 |
Result
Final score
139 – 150
Prediction missed · off by 28.4 pts
Match videos
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