Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
71.08 – 22.93
65%35%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
69 – 198
Prediction missed · off by 88.6 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 264.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 38.2Event APEX -6.91Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 185Event APEX 39.02Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 38.97Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 363.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 62.9Event APEX -6.91Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 39.02Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 37.6Event APEX -9.18Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4579, 4512, 3070
50
/ 100 compatProjected
71.1 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 4579, 4512, 3070
Auto
18.2 24%
Teleop
28.8 37%
Endgame
30.3 39%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3268, 4915, 3826
36
/ 100 compatProjected
22.9 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 3268, 4915, 3826
Auto
7.4 26%
Teleop
11.5 40%
Endgame
9.5 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.11
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score71.1pts
Blue projected score22.9pts
Red win probability65%
Event bonus sample152alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 36%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 48.2
- Score range
- 2–92
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
264.9Season APEX363.3
18.2Auto7.4
28.8Teleop11.5
30.3Endgame9.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 41 |
| teleop | 23 | 114 |
| endgame | 32 | 43 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 69 | 198 |
Result
Final score
69 – 198
Prediction missed · off by 88.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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