Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

169.27 – 0

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

52 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 81.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 308.6 ±12.2

4682CyBears

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 62.34Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10079Arrowdynamics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 101.84Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4173Bark Bots

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 5.09Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 111.8 ±12.7

3826Sequim Robotics Federation "SRF"

Season APEX 37.6Event APEX 4.5Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4579RoboEagles

Season APEX 38.2Event APEX -4.35Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5941Cast Iron Orcas

Season APEX 36Event APEX -3.05Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4682, 10079, 4173

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4682, 10079, 4173

Auto

26.3 15%

Teleop

103.8 61%

Endgame

41.0 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3826, 4579, 5941

/ 100 compat

Projected

-2.9 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3826, 4579, 5941

Auto

4.1 0%

Teleop

-7.1 100%

Endgame

-1.6 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.19 · Blue 0.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score169.3pts

Blue projected score-2.9pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 169.3
Score range: -22–191
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 97 vs event baseline 120.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

308.6Season APEX111.8

26.3Auto4.1

103.8Teleop-7.1

41Endgame-1.6

2Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	15
teleop	19	19
endgame	8	11
foul	0	0
total	52	45

Result

Final score

52 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 81.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.