Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

176.78 – 90.45

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

243 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 35.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 375.3 ±11.1

4682CyBears

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 56.81Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9442Miso Mechanics

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 23.19Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4915Spartronics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 96.78Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231.2 ±12.7

4173Bark Bots

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 4.52Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2903NeoBots

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 14.29Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9036Ramen Robotics

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 71.64Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4682, 9442, 4915

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4682, 9442, 4915

Auto

31.7 18%

Teleop

105.8 60%

Endgame

38.7 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4173, 2903, 9036

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4173, 2903, 9036

Auto

21.6 24%

Teleop

48.1 54%

Endgame

18.6 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.97 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score176.8pts

Blue projected score90.5pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 86.3
Score range: 68–199
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 339 vs event baseline 120.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

375.3Season APEX231.2

31.7Auto21.6

105.8Teleop48.1

38.7Endgame18.6

0Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	14
teleop	169	45
endgame	52	22
foul	5	15
total	243	96

Result

Final score

243 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 35.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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