Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

151.92 – 238.32

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

121 – 185

Prediction correct · off by 42.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 529.5 ±9.8

1778Chill Out

Season APEX 183.2Event APEX 47.28Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1294Pack of Parts

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 5.86Rank 24Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2522Royal Robotics

Season APEX 265.8Event APEX 98.78Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 674 ±9.9

4089Stealth Robotics

Season APEX 268.1Event APEX 113.3Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2910Jack in the Bot

Season APEX 368.3Event APEX 110.16Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3826Sequim Robotics Federation "SRF"

Season APEX 37.6Event APEX 14.86Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1778, 1294, 2522

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1778, 1294, 2522

Auto

29.0 21%

Teleop

72.2 52%

Endgame

37.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4089, 2910, 3826

/ 100 compat

Projected

238.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4089, 2910, 3826

Auto

42.3 18%

Teleop

123.3 52%

Endgame

71.1 30%

Strengths

· 4089 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.89 · Blue 1.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score151.9pts

Blue projected score238.3pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -86.4
Score range: 131–259
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 306 vs event baseline 118.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

529.5Season APEX674

29Auto42.3

72.2Teleop123.3

37.9Endgame71.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	51
teleop	51	74
endgame	30	60
foul	0	0
total	121	185

Result

Final score

121 – 185

Prediction correct · off by 42.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.