Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

283.25 – 0.61

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

371 – 25

Prediction correct · off by 56.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 792.7 ±9.3

2522Royal Robotics

Season APEX 265.8Event APEX 89.57Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10079Arrowdynamics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 89.45Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2910Jack in the Bot

Season APEX 368.3Event APEX 104.23Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 214.7 ±12.8

1294Pack of Parts

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 3.32Rank 24Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3219TREAD (Trojan Robotics, Engineering, Art, & Design)

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX -5.91Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4173Bark Bots

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 3.2Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2522, 10079, 2910

/ 100 compat

Projected

283.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2522, 10079, 2910

Auto

51.0 18%

Teleop

141.8 51%

Endgame

84.2 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1294, 3219, 4173

/ 100 compat

Projected

0.6 pts

~0.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1294, 3219, 4173

Auto

1.6 0%

Teleop

-1.4 58%

Endgame

-2.6 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.45 · Blue 0.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score283.3pts

Blue projected score0.6pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 282.6
Score range: -20–304
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 396 vs event baseline 116.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

792.7Season APEX214.7

51Auto1.6

141.8Teleop-1.4

84.2Endgame-2.6

20Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	13
teleop	199	5
endgame	107	2
foul	0	5
total	371	25

Result

Final score

371 – 25

Prediction correct · off by 56.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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