Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

152.37 – 248.23

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

71 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 43.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 424.4 ±11.2

4131Iron Patriots

Season APEX 95.7Event APEX 23.86Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3268Valhallabots

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 30.82Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2522Royal Robotics

Season APEX 265.8Event APEX 97.69Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 425.6 ±11.1

9036Ramen Robotics

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 76.64Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4089Stealth Robotics

Season APEX 268.1Event APEX 114.28Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7627Bearcat Robotics

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 57.31Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4131, 3268, 2522

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4131, 3268, 2522

Auto

39.2 27%

Teleop

70.3 48%

Endgame

35.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9036, 4089, 7627

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9036, 4089, 7627

Auto

57.2 24%

Teleop

119.6 51%

Endgame

56.9 24%

Strengths

· 4089 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.89 · Blue 2.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score152.4pts

Blue projected score248.2pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -95.9
Score range: 131–269
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 325 vs event baseline 115.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

424.4Season APEX425.6

39.2Auto57.2

70.3Teleop119.6

35.7Endgame56.9

0Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	58
teleop	19	137
endgame	12	59
foul	5	0
total	71	254

Result

Final score

71 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 43.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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