Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

3.82 – 92.08

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

30 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 38.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 208.9 ±13.3

3681Robo-Raiders

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 20.04Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4579RoboEagles

Season APEX 38.2Event APEX -17.89Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4173Bark Bots

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 1.67Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 276.4 ±11.6

2903NeoBots

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 18.66Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3070Team Pronto 3070

Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 33.35Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1778Chill Out

Season APEX 183.2Event APEX 40.07Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3681, 4579, 4173

/ 100 compat

Projected

3.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3681, 4579, 4173

Auto

7.6 0%

Teleop

-11.0 100%

Endgame

1.4 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2903, 3070, 1778

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2903, 3070, 1778

Auto

15.3 17%

Teleop

50.3 56%

Endgame

24.0 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 1.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score3.8pts

Blue projected score92.1pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -88.3
Score range: -17–113
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 173 vs event baseline 116.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

208.9Season APEX276.4

7.6Auto15.3

-11Teleop50.3

1.4Endgame24

30Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	13
teleop	15	95
endgame	8	35
foul	0	0
total	30	143

Result

Final score

30 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 38.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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