Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

66.24 – 151.31

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

42 – 267

Prediction correct · off by 70 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 259.8 ±11.6

1294Pack of Parts

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 5.59Rank 24Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1899Saints Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 44.58Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9317SteamRollers

Season APEX 94.5Event APEX 16.07Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 573.8 ±11.2

2910Jack in the Bot

Season APEX 368.3Event APEX 93.01Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3219TREAD (Trojan Robotics, Engineering, Art, & Design)

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX -18.37Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10079Arrowdynamics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 76.67Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1294, 1899, 9317

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1294, 1899, 9317

Auto

13.5 21%

Teleop

34.8 55%

Endgame

14.7 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2910, 3219, 10079

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2910, 3219, 10079

Auto

26.0 17%

Teleop

79.6 52%

Endgame

47.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.87 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score66.2pts

Blue projected score151.3pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -85.1
Score range: 45–172
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 309 vs event baseline 115.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

259.8Season APEX573.8

13.5Auto26

34.8Teleop79.6

14.7Endgame47.8

0Consistency94

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	40
teleop	16	161
endgame	0	66
foul	15	0
total	42	267

Result

Final score

42 – 267

Prediction correct · off by 70 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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