Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

132.34 – 45.73

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

139 – 26

Prediction correct · off by 13.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 379.4 ±11.7

9442Miso Mechanics

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 41.39Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2522Royal Robotics

Season APEX 265.8Event APEX 94.96Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2980Whidbey Island Wildcats

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX -4.01Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.9 ±13.3

4579RoboEagles

Season APEX 38.2Event APEX -2.88Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3268Valhallabots

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 19.58Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1899Saints Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 29.03Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9442, 2522, 2980

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9442, 2522, 2980

Auto

31.1 26%

Teleop

41.2 35%

Endgame

46.4 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4579, 3268, 1899

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4579, 3268, 1899

Auto

14.3 37%

Teleop

15.1 39%

Endgame

9.7 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132.3pts

Blue projected score45.7pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 86.6
Score range: 21–157
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 165 vs event baseline 138.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

379.4Season APEX185.9

31.1Auto14.3

41.2Teleop15.1

46.4Endgame9.7

11Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	2
teleop	42	15
endgame	38	9
foul	15	0
total	139	26

Result

Final score

139 – 26

Prediction correct · off by 13.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.