Qualification · Qualification 38
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
238.62 – 161.8
72%28%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
103 – 114
Prediction missed · off by 91.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 725.6 ±9.9
Season APEX 94.5Event APEX 35.76Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 368.3Event APEX 105.93Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 96.93Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 497.5 ±10.5
Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 30.22Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 148.3Event APEX 27.07Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265.8Event APEX 104.51Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9317, 2910, 4915
80
/ 100 compatProjected
238.6 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9317, 2910, 4915
Auto
36.6 15%
Teleop
139.2 57%
Endgame
70.2 29%
Strengths
- · 2910 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3681, 8051, 2522
79
/ 100 compatProjected
161.8 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 3681, 8051, 2522
Auto
35.4 22%
Teleop
78.9 50%
Endgame
43.3 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 0.99
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score238.6pts
Blue projected score161.8pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample152alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 76.8
- Score range
- 141–260
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
725.6Season APEX497.5
36.6Auto35.4
139.2Teleop78.9
70.2Endgame43.3
0Consistency33
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 34 | 49 |
| teleop | 29 | 24 |
| endgame | 40 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 103 | 114 |
Result
Final score
103 – 114
Prediction missed · off by 91.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.