Qualification · Qualification 35
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
155.14 – 103.62
66%34%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
221 – 97
Prediction correct · off by 36.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 421.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 265.8Event APEX 97.31Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 19.58Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 38.25Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 329 ±11.6
Season APEX 148.3Event APEX 30.22Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 94.5Event APEX 39.31Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 86.2Event APEX 34.09Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2522, 488, 3070
77
/ 100 compatProjected
155.1 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 2522, 488, 3070
Auto
36.6 24%
Teleop
68.8 45%
Endgame
46.1 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8051, 9317, 3786
56
/ 100 compatProjected
103.6 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8051, 9317, 3786
Auto
19.6 20%
Teleop
44.3 45%
Endgame
35.4 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.08
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score155.1pts
Blue projected score103.6pts
Red win probability66%
Event bonus sample152alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 51.5
- Score range
- 83–176
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
421.8Season APEX329
36.6Auto19.6
68.8Teleop44.3
46.1Endgame35.4
13Consistency26
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 18 |
| teleop | 118 | 50 |
| endgame | 55 | 29 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 221 | 97 |
Result
Final score
221 – 97
Prediction correct · off by 36.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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