Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

7.72 – 188.38

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

60 – 233

Prediction correct · off by 48.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 179.4 ±12.2

1294Pack of Parts

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX -26.91Rank 24Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5941Cast Iron Orcas

Season APEX 36Event APEX -1.07Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3268Valhallabots

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 35.7Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 438.6 ±11.1

4915Spartronics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 79.81Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9036Ramen Robotics

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 62.81Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3681Robo-Raiders

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 45.76Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1294, 5941, 3268

/ 100 compat

Projected

7.7 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1294, 5941, 3268

Auto

3.6 97%

Teleop

-7.6 0%

Endgame

7.7 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4915, 9036, 3681

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4915, 9036, 3681

Auto

35.3 19%

Teleop

116.4 62%

Endgame

37.5 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.47 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score7.7pts

Blue projected score188.4pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -180.7
Score range: -11–207
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 293 vs event baseline 105.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

179.4Season APEX438.6

3.6Auto35.3

-7.6Teleop116.4

7.7Endgame37.5

127Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	37
teleop	27	143
endgame	11	53
foul	5	0
total	60	233

Result

Final score

60 – 233

Prediction correct · off by 48.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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