Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

157.09 – 53.04

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

255 – 19

Prediction correct · off by 66 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 423 ±11.1

9317SteamRollers

Season APEX 94.5Event APEX 29.47Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2522Royal Robotics

Season APEX 265.8Event APEX 97.82Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4682CyBears

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 29.8Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 166.6 ±12.7

3070Team Pronto 3070

Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 37.85Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3826Sequim Robotics Federation "SRF"

Season APEX 37.6Event APEX 13.74Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4173Bark Bots

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 1.45Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9317, 2522, 4682

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9317, 2522, 4682

Auto

35.4 22%

Teleop

81.3 52%

Endgame

41.1 26%

Strengths

· 2522 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3070, 3826, 4173

/ 100 compat

Projected

53 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3070, 3826, 4173

Auto

12.9 24%

Teleop

5.7 10%

Endgame

35.8 66%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score157.1pts

Blue projected score53pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 104.1
Score range: 34–176
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 274 vs event baseline 104.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

423Season APEX166.6

35.4Auto12.9

81.3Teleop5.7

41.1Endgame35.8

111Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	10
teleop	118	6
endgame	87	3
foul	5	0
total	255	19

Result

Final score

255 – 19

Prediction correct · off by 66 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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