Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
74.92 – 94.81
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
46 – 55
Prediction correct · off by 34.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 306.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 10.53Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 38.24Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 185Event APEX 26.15Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184.9 ±11.6
Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 56.3Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 49.03Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 80.5Event APEX -10.52Rank 24Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4180, 3268, 4512
57
/ 100 compatProjected
74.9 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 4180, 3268, 4512
Auto
15.8 20%
Teleop
42.5 55%
Endgame
19.1 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4682, 3070, 1294
53
/ 100 compatProjected
94.8 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 4682, 3070, 1294
Auto
4.7 5%
Teleop
42.7 45%
Endgame
48.3 50%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.46
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score74.9pts
Blue projected score94.8pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample152alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 30%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -19.9
- Score range
- 55–115
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
306.6Season APEX184.9
15.8Auto4.7
42.5Teleop42.7
19.1Endgame48.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 10 |
| teleop | 11 | 21 |
| endgame | 17 | 24 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 46 | 55 |
Result
Final score
46 – 55
Prediction correct · off by 34.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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