Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

93.38 – 188.43

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

116 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 36 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 285.9 ±12.1

1899Saints Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 12.23Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8032SAASquatch Robotics

Season APEX 108.7Event APEX 48.54Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9036Ramen Robotics

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 32.61Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 531.8 ±10.5

2928Viking Robotics

Season APEX 93.8Event APEX 32.61Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8248ChainLynx

Season APEX 130.7Event APEX 100.96Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4469R.A.I.D. (Raider Artificial Intelligence Division)

A+

Season APEX 307.3Event APEX 54.86Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1899, 8032, 9036

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1899, 8032, 9036

Auto

18.7 20%

Teleop

43.0 46%

Endgame

30.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2928, 8248, 4469

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2928, 8248, 4469

Auto

22.3 12%

Teleop

103.3 55%

Endgame

60.8 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.23 · Blue 2.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score93.4pts

Blue projected score188.4pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -95.1
Score range: 59–222
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 255 vs event baseline 189.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

285.9Season APEX531.8

18.7Auto22.3

43Teleop103.3

30.9Endgame60.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	22
teleop	59	56
endgame	34	56
foul	0	5
total	116	139

Result

Final score

116 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 36 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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