Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

214.4 – 158.57

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

307 – 248

Prediction correct · off by 91 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 587.6 ±9.9

948NRG (Newport Robotics Group)

Season APEX 278Event APEX 81.71Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9317SteamRollers

Season APEX 94.5Event APEX 20.4Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2412Robototes

Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 112.29Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 411.3 ±10.5

5588Reign Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 59.43Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1983Skunk Works Robotics

Season APEX 99.9Event APEX 17.43Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5937MI Robotics

Season APEX 252.9Event APEX 81.71Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 948, 9317, 2412

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 948, 9317, 2412

Auto

35.1 17%

Teleop

117.2 56%

Endgame

55.7 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5588, 1983, 5937

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5588, 1983, 5937

Auto

22.9 15%

Teleop

90.6 59%

Endgame

40.9 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.05 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score214.4pts

Blue projected score158.6pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 55.8
Score range: 127–246
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 555 vs event baseline 175.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

587.6Season APEX411.3

35.1Auto22.9

117.2Teleop90.6

55.7Endgame40.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	25
teleop	189	142
endgame	48	71
foul	20	10
total	307	248

Result

Final score

307 – 248

Prediction correct · off by 91 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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