Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

98.6 – 270.81

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

75 – 272

Prediction correct · off by 12.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 288 ±11

2976The Spartabots

Season APEX 115.4Event APEX 29.29Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7461Sushi Squad

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 68.66Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1294Pack of Parts

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 0.65Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 481.2 ±10.5

3681Robo-Raiders

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 72.38Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2522Royal Robotics

Season APEX 265.8Event APEX 100.65Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1318Issaquah Robotics Society

Season APEX 132Event APEX 97.78Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2976, 7461, 1294

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2976, 7461, 1294

Auto

26.0 28%

Teleop

25.2 27%

Endgame

42.1 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3681, 2522, 1318

/ 100 compat

Projected

270.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3681, 2522, 1318

Auto

46.3 18%

Teleop

148.9 57%

Endgame

65.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.83 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score98.6pts

Blue projected score270.8pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -172.2
Score range: 63–307
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 347 vs event baseline 199.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

288Season APEX481.2

26Auto46.3

25.2Teleop148.9

42.1Endgame65.9

55Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	28
teleop	42	165
endgame	17	64
foul	0	15
total	75	272

Result

Final score

75 – 272

Prediction correct · off by 12.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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