Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

73.61 – 149.01

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

54 – 126

Prediction correct · off by 21.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 176.4 ±12.7

8032SAASquatch Robotics

Season APEX 108.7Event APEX 65.61Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6350Clawbots

Season APEX 30.1Event APEX 11.84Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3826Sequim Robotics Federation "SRF"

Season APEX 37.6Event APEX -3.84Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 267.9 ±11

2903NeoBots

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 42.71Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

492Titan Robotics Club

Season APEX 135.9Event APEX 94.11Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1294Pack of Parts

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 12.19Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8032, 6350, 3826

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8032, 6350, 3826

Auto

11.5 17%

Teleop

32.6 49%

Endgame

22.6 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2903, 492, 1294

/ 100 compat

Projected

149 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2903, 492, 1294

Auto

23.5 16%

Teleop

76.3 53%

Endgame

44.5 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score73.6pts

Blue projected score149pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -75.4
Score range: 39–184
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 180 vs event baseline 194.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

176.4Season APEX267.9

11.5Auto23.5

32.6Teleop76.3

22.6Endgame44.5

99Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	50
teleop	23	40
endgame	2	26
foul	0	10
total	54	126

Result

Final score

54 – 126

Prediction correct · off by 21.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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