Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

221.67 – 91.78

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

232 – 148

Prediction correct · off by 33.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 437.4 ±11.7

8032SAASquatch Robotics

Season APEX 108.7Event APEX 65.35Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3268Valhallabots

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 36.38Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2522Royal Robotics

Season APEX 265.8Event APEX 119.94Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 229.8 ±13.3

6350Clawbots

Season APEX 30.1Event APEX 7.31Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9036Ramen Robotics

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 86.3Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

949Wolverine Robotics

Season APEX 107.3Event APEX -1.83Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8032, 3268, 2522

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8032, 3268, 2522

Auto

41.5 19%

Teleop

131.3 59%

Endgame

51.2 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6350, 9036, 949

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6350, 9036, 949

Auto

20.4 29%

Teleop

30.5 43%

Endgame

20.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score221.7pts

Blue projected score91.8pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 129.9
Score range: 57–257
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 380 vs event baseline 195.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

437.4Season APEX229.8

41.5Auto20.4

131.3Teleop30.5

51.2Endgame20.5

46Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	32
teleop	129	70
endgame	31	46
foul	20	0
total	232	148

Result

Final score

232 – 148

Prediction correct · off by 33.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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