Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

133.31 – 222.56

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

81 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 59.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 297.6 ±11

488Team XBOT

Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 51.84Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3681Robo-Raiders

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 61.87Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1983Skunk Works Robotics

Season APEX 99.9Event APEX 19.6Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 438.2 ±11.1

8032SAASquatch Robotics

Season APEX 108.7Event APEX 64.8Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

948NRG (Newport Robotics Group)

Season APEX 278Event APEX 134.87Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2903NeoBots

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 22.89Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 488, 3681, 1983

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 488, 3681, 1983

Auto

18.1 13%

Teleop

89.0 64%

Endgame

31.3 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8032, 948, 2903

/ 100 compat

Projected

222.6 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8032, 948, 2903

Auto

35.6 16%

Teleop

126.4 58%

Endgame

57.7 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 2.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score133.3pts

Blue projected score222.6pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -89.2
Score range: 99–257
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 371 vs event baseline 190.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

297.6Season APEX438.2

18.1Auto35.6

89Teleop126.4

31.3Endgame57.7

65Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	61
teleop	29	167
endgame	11	57
foul	0	5
total	81	290

Result

Final score

81 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 59.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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