Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

162.99 – 241.42

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

201 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 238.1 ±12.1

9442Miso Mechanics

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 15.97Rank 28Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9317SteamRollers

Season APEX 94.5Event APEX 56.95Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2928Viking Robotics

Season APEX 93.8Event APEX 90.07Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381.1 ±11.2

492Titan Robotics Club

Season APEX 135.9Event APEX 85.97Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2412Robototes

Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 142.27Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6350Clawbots

Season APEX 30.1Event APEX 13.18Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9442, 9317, 2928

/ 100 compat

Projected

163 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9442, 9317, 2928

Auto

38.5 24%

Teleop

81.2 51%

Endgame

38.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 492, 2412, 6350

/ 100 compat

Projected

241.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 492, 2412, 6350

Auto

31.9 14%

Teleop

145.2 63%

Endgame

54.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score163pts

Blue projected score241.4pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -78.4
Score range: 129–275
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 455 vs event baseline 189.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

238.1Season APEX381.1

38.5Auto31.9

81.2Teleop145.2

38.4Endgame54

98Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	18
teleop	73	143
endgame	38	93
foul	20	0
total	201	254

Result

Final score

201 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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