Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

231 – 117.64

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

240 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 10.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 524.1 ±9.8

8248ChainLynx

Season APEX 130.7Event APEX 77.48Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2976The Spartabots

Season APEX 115.4Event APEX 19.08Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

948NRG (Newport Robotics Group)

Season APEX 278Event APEX 134.44Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207 ±12.7

7461Sushi Squad

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 84.26Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1899Saints Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 18.78Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6350Clawbots

Season APEX 30.1Event APEX 14.6Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8248, 2976, 948

/ 100 compat

Projected

231 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8248, 2976, 948

Auto

41.6 18%

Teleop

118.5 52%

Endgame

66.1 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7461, 1899, 6350

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7461, 1899, 6350

Auto

30.0 29%

Teleop

56.9 55%

Endgame

16.8 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.38 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score231pts

Blue projected score117.6pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 113.4
Score range: 84–265
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 346 vs event baseline 191.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

524.1Season APEX207

41.6Auto30

118.5Teleop56.9

66.1Endgame16.8

31Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	42
teleop	110	49
endgame	91	5
foul	0	10
total	240	106

Result

Final score

240 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 10.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.