Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

195.55 – 214.98

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

255 – 344

Prediction correct · off by 94.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 285.9 ±12.1

2928Viking Robotics

Season APEX 93.8Event APEX 81.66Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3681Robo-Raiders

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 56.28Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8032SAASquatch Robotics

Season APEX 108.7Event APEX 57.61Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 374.5 ±11.7

2412Robototes

Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 128.12Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3268Valhallabots

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 28.49Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4911CyberKnights

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 58.37Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2928, 3681, 8032

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2928, 3681, 8032

Auto

35.6 17%

Teleop

113.3 54%

Endgame

59.9 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2412, 3268, 4911

/ 100 compat

Projected

215 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2412, 3268, 4911

Auto

44.4 21%

Teleop

114.4 54%

Endgame

52.1 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score195.6pts

Blue projected score215pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -19.4
Score range: 162–249
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 599 vs event baseline 188.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

285.9Season APEX374.5

35.6Auto44.4

113.3Teleop114.4

59.9Endgame52.1

79Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	50
teleop	153	233
endgame	83	56
foul	0	5
total	255	344

Result

Final score

255 – 344

Prediction correct · off by 94.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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