Qualification · Qualification 37
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
193.49 – 30.19
88%12%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
170 – 155
Prediction correct · off by 74.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 329.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 32.97Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 129.84Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 30.68Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 218.9 ±12.1
Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 11.34Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 41.72Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 37.6Event APEX -22.87Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3268, 2412, 2903
65
/ 100 compatProjected
193.5 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3268, 2412, 2903
Auto
35.2 19%
Teleop
97.6 53%
Endgame
52.8 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1899, 4911, 3826
11
/ 100 compatProjected
30.2 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 1899, 4911, 3826
Auto
31.5 100%
Teleop
-9.8 0%
Endgame
2.9 12%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.45 · Blue 0.89
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score193.5pts
Blue projected score30.2pts
Red win probability88%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 64%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 163.3
- Score range
- -4–227
- Upset likelihood
- 12%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
329.5Season APEX218.9
35.2Auto31.5
97.6Teleop-9.8
52.8Endgame2.9
41Consistency98
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 22 |
| teleop | 120 | 89 |
| endgame | 25 | 29 |
| foul | 5 | 15 |
| total | 170 | 155 |
Result
Final score
170 – 155
Prediction correct · off by 74.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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