Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

285.69 – 95.49

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

340 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 61.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 428.7 ±11.1

9036Ramen Robotics

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 106.03Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3681Robo-Raiders

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 50.79Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5937MI Robotics

Season APEX 252.9Event APEX 128.87Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.3 ±12.2

6350Clawbots

Season APEX 30.1Event APEX 9.71Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2928Viking Robotics

Season APEX 93.8Event APEX 73Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2976The Spartabots

Season APEX 115.4Event APEX 12.78Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9036, 3681, 5937

/ 100 compat

Projected

285.7 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9036, 3681, 5937

Auto

44.1 16%

Teleop

153.3 57%

Endgame

73.0 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6350, 2928, 2976

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6350, 2928, 2976

Auto

31.6 33%

Teleop

36.3 38%

Endgame

27.0 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.6 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score285.7pts

Blue projected score95.5pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 190.2
Score range: 61–320
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 504 vs event baseline 186.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

428.7Season APEX239.3

44.1Auto31.6

153.3Teleop36.3

73Endgame27

46Consistency89

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	41
teleop	204	80
endgame	66	43
foul	15	0
total	340	164

Result

Final score

340 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 61.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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