Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

65.53 – 201.89

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

134 – 79

Prediction missed · off by 95.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 407.8 ±11.7

3268Valhallabots

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 24.07Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3826Sequim Robotics Federation "SRF"

Season APEX 37.6Event APEX -26.92Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4469R.A.I.D. (Raider Artificial Intelligence Division)

A+

Season APEX 307.3Event APEX 68.38Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 202.1 ±12.1

5588Reign Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 49.01Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2903NeoBots

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 48.42Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7461Sushi Squad

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 104.46Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3268, 3826, 4469

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3268, 3826, 4469

Auto

17.5 28%

Teleop

12.3 20%

Endgame

31.7 52%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5588, 2903, 7461

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.9 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5588, 2903, 7461

Auto

31.7 17%

Teleop

99.9 54%

Endgame

54.7 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score65.5pts

Blue projected score201.9pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -136.4
Score range: 32–236
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 213 vs event baseline 190.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

407.8Season APEX202.1

17.5Auto31.7

12.3Teleop99.9

31.7Endgame54.7

58Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	17
teleop	73	28
endgame	23	19
foul	15	15
total	134	79

Result

Final score

134 – 79

Prediction missed · off by 95.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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