Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

165.71 – 148.85

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

277 – 196

Prediction correct · off by 79.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 517.1 ±9.8

2976The Spartabots

Season APEX 115.4Event APEX -0.49Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2522Royal Robotics

Season APEX 265.8Event APEX 92.34Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

492Titan Robotics Club

Season APEX 135.9Event APEX 73.86Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 292.9 ±11.6

1899Saints Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 17.71Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

488Team XBOT

Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 64.89Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2928Viking Robotics

Season APEX 93.8Event APEX 66.25Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2976, 2522, 492

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2976, 2522, 492

Auto

28.2 18%

Teleop

97.2 62%

Endgame

31.7 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1899, 488, 2928

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1899, 488, 2928

Auto

35.1 22%

Teleop

96.9 62%

Endgame

25.1 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.81 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score165.7pts

Blue projected score148.9pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 16.9
Score range: 115–200
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 473 vs event baseline 189.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

517.1Season APEX292.9

28.2Auto35.1

97.2Teleop96.9

31.7Endgame25.1

133Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	59
teleop	134	120
endgame	94	17
foul	0	0
total	277	196

Result

Final score

277 – 196

Prediction correct · off by 79.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.