Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

47.71 – 248.25

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

125 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 40.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 265.8 ±12.7

949Wolverine Robotics

Season APEX 107.3Event APEX -13.23Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8032SAASquatch Robotics

Season APEX 108.7Event APEX 45.48Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9442Miso Mechanics

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 15.46Rank 28Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281 ±12.1

4911CyberKnights

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 43.86Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7461Sushi Squad

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 106.2Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9036Ramen Robotics

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 98.19Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 949, 8032, 9442

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 949, 8032, 9442

Auto

5.5 11%

Teleop

32.3 64%

Endgame

12.8 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4911, 7461, 9036

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.3 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4911, 7461, 9036

Auto

49.6 22%

Teleop

119.2 52%

Endgame

61.7 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.86 · Blue 2.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.7pts

Blue projected score248.3pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -200.5
Score range: 14–282
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 377 vs event baseline 186.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

265.8Season APEX281

5.5Auto49.6

32.3Teleop119.2

12.8Endgame61.7

121Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	55
teleop	63	115
endgame	41	62
foul	5	20
total	125	252

Result

Final score

125 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 40.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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