Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

52.35 – 193.38

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

227 – 116

Prediction missed · off by 126 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 431.9 ±11.7

4469R.A.I.D. (Raider Artificial Intelligence Division)

A+

Season APEX 307.3Event APEX 30.77Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9317SteamRollers

Season APEX 94.5Event APEX 31.18Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6350Clawbots

Season APEX 30.1Event APEX -9.6Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 405.8 ±11.7

3681Robo-Raiders

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 29.66Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2412Robototes

Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 158.03Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

949Wolverine Robotics

Season APEX 107.3Event APEX 5.69Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4469, 9317, 6350

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4469, 9317, 6350

Auto

21.0 39%

Teleop

8.6 16%

Endgame

23.8 45%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3681, 2412, 949

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.4 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3681, 2412, 949

Auto

21.8 12%

Teleop

100.0 53%

Endgame

65.7 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score52.4pts

Blue projected score193.4pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -141
Score range: 19–226
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 343 vs event baseline 180.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

431.9Season APEX405.8

21Auto21.8

8.6Teleop100

23.8Endgame65.7

23Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	16
teleop	91	75
endgame	34	25
foul	65	0
total	227	116

Result

Final score

227 – 116

Prediction missed · off by 126 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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