Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

198.96 – 207.37

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

193 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 215.4 ±12.7

3268Valhallabots

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 58.75Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2928Viking Robotics

Season APEX 93.8Event APEX 49.85Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4180Iron Riders

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 90.36Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 282.9 ±11.6

9036Ramen Robotics

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 62.37Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5588Reign Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 54.04Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1318Issaquah Robotics Society

Season APEX 132Event APEX 90.96Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3268, 2928, 4180

/ 100 compat

Projected

199 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3268, 2928, 4180

Auto

39.9 19%

Teleop

102.5 50%

Endgame

63.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9036, 5588, 1318

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9036, 5588, 1318

Auto

11.4 6%

Teleop

106.9 60%

Endgame

58.6 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score199pts

Blue projected score207.4pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 77%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -8.4
Score range: 167–239
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 445 vs event baseline 178.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

215.4Season APEX282.9

39.9Auto11.4

102.5Teleop106.9

63.9Endgame58.6

163Consistency109

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	55
teleop	88	143
endgame	55	54
foul	0	0
total	193	252

Result

Final score

193 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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