Qualification · Qualification 22
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
226.27 – 115.66
80%20%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
151 – 88
Prediction correct · off by 51.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 330.1 ±12.2
Season APEX 130.7Event APEX 98.28Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 107.3Event APEX 17.12Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 110.87Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 324.2 ±11
Season APEX 115.4Event APEX -24.11Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 110.31Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 94.5Event APEX 29.46Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8248, 949, 7461
69
/ 100 compatProjected
226.3 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 8248, 949, 7461
Auto
16.4 8%
Teleop
106.7 51%
Endgame
85.4 41%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2976, 488, 9317
45
/ 100 compatProjected
115.7 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 2976, 488, 9317
Auto
26.2 22%
Teleop
89.1 74%
Endgame
4.3 4%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.3 · Blue 1.1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score226.3pts
Blue projected score115.7pts
Red win probability80%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 66%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 110.6
- Score range
- 83–259
- Upset likelihood
- 20%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
330.1Season APEX324.2
16.4Auto26.2
106.7Teleop89.1
85.4Endgame4.3
72Consistency124
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 28 | 15 |
| teleop | 99 | 36 |
| endgame | 19 | 17 |
| foul | 5 | 20 |
| total | 151 | 88 |
Result
Final score
151 – 88
Prediction correct · off by 51.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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