Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

84.62 – 287.24

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

36 – 320

Prediction correct · off by 40.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 165 ±12.7

6350Clawbots

Season APEX 30.1Event APEX 1.63Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2903NeoBots

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 38.94Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3681Robo-Raiders

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 44.05Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 548.5 ±9.3

2412Robototes

Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 162.37Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5937MI Robotics

Season APEX 252.9Event APEX 99.55Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1294Pack of Parts

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 25.32Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6350, 2903, 3681

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6350, 2903, 3681

Auto

16.9 21%

Teleop

32.6 40%

Endgame

31.4 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2412, 5937, 1294

/ 100 compat

Projected

287.2 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2412, 5937, 1294

Auto

47.1 17%

Teleop

156.8 58%

Endgame

67.1 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.83 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score84.6pts

Blue projected score287.2pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -202.6
Score range: 52–320
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 356 vs event baseline 181.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

165Season APEX548.5

16.9Auto47.1

32.6Teleop156.8

31.4Endgame67.1

81Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	66
teleop	16	168
endgame	11	71
foul	0	15
total	36	320

Result

Final score

36 – 320

Prediction correct · off by 40.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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